Posts Tagged ‘A(H1N1)’

The Pandemic - 1918 Flu or Spanish Flu

Monday, May 4th, 2009

This well known 1918 Flu or Spanish Flu pandemic caused the highest number of known influenza deaths. An estimated one-third of the world’s population (500 million people) became infected and had flu symptoms during the 1918 flu outbreak.

More than 500,000 people died in the United States, and 50 million people or more died worldwide. Many people died within the first few days after infection while others died of complications. Nearly half of those who died were young, healthy adults.

What Caused the 1918 Flu or Spanish Flu Pandemic?

The specific virus that caused the 1918 flu was the influenza A (H1N1) virus, which appears to be an avian-like influenza virus.

How Did the 1918 Flu Pandemic Progressed ?

The 1918 flu pandemic spread more or less simultaneously in 3 distinct waves during a 12-month period from 1918–1919, in Europe, Asia, and North America.

The first pandemic influenza wave appeared in the spring of 1918, followed in rapid succession by much more fatal second and third waves in the fall and winter of 1918–1919, respectively. The 1918 flu pandemic had another unique feature, the simultaneous (or nearly simultaneous) infection of humans and swine.

The Fatality Rate Curve of the 1918 Flu Pandemic

The curve of influenza deaths by age has, generally has been U-shaped, with death peaks in the very young and the very old, with a comparatively low number of deaths at all ages in between.

In contrast, in the 1918 flu pandemic, it showed a distinct pattern that has not been documented before: a “W-shaped” curve, similar to the familiar U-shaped curve but with the addition of a third (middle) distinct peak of deaths in young adults who were between 20 and 40 years of age.

Influenza and pneumonia death rates for those 15 to 34 years of age in 1918–1919, for example, were 20 times higher than in previous years. Surprisingly, nearly half of the influenza-related deaths in the 1918 pandemic were in young adults who were 20 to 40 years of age, a phenomenon very unique.

The 1918 flu pandemic is also unique among influenza pandemics in that risk of influenza death was higher in those who were younger than 65 years of age than in those who were greater than 65 years of age

Prevention and Treatment of the 1918 Flu

Two types of antiviral drugs, rimantadine (Flumadine®) and oseltamivir (Tamiflu®), have been shown to be effective against influenza viruses similar to the 1918 flu virus. Vaccines containing the 1918 flu HA or other subtype H1 HA proteins were effective in protecting mice against the 1918 flu virus

Can the 1918 Flu Pandemic Happen Again ?

The evolutionary path that led to pandemic emergence of the 1918 flu is not known, but it appears to be different in many respects from the current situation with H5N1 (avian flu).

Even with modern antiviral and antibacterial drugs, vaccines, and prevention knowledge, the return of a pandemic virus equivalent in pathogenicity with the 1918 flu would likely kill more than 100 million people worldwide.

This has made experts very worried about this current A(H1N1) flu. Despite symptoms being relatively mild as compared to the avian flu, WHO has warned against complacency.

A(H1N1) Virus Crossing Species

Sunday, May 3rd, 2009

Recently, Canadian officials have discovered a case of pigs being infected by humans and the first evidence that the A(H1N1) virus had crossed to another species. About 200 pigs on a farm were infected by a farm worker who recently returned from Mexico.

Officials believe the worker may have sneezed or coughed near the pigs.

Now that the swine flu virus has passed from a farm worker to pigs, could it jump back to people? The question is important, because crossing species again could make the A(H1N1) virus more deadly.

The A(H1N1) virus was created when genes from pig, bird and human viruses mixed together inside a pig. Experts fear the virus that has gone from humans back into pigs could mutate further before crossing back into humans again. No one can predict what will happen. It could lead to another wave of the epidemic leading to a disastrous pandemic.

With the mutation, it can go both ways. The A(H1N1) virus could gain virulence or it could become milder.

Pigs are of special concern because they share some basic biological similarities with humans, and they have served as the medium in which various flu strains have swapped genetic material.

There have been sporadic cases of pigs infecting humans with influenza in the past. Most cases resulted in mild symptoms, typically among people who were in close contact with sick pigs. A few deaths have been recorded, and limited human-to-human transmission also has been documented, but nothing sustained.

Given that the past three flu pandemics — the 1918 Spanish flu, the 1957-58 Asian flu and the Hong Kong flu of 1968-69 — were all linked to birds, much of the global pandemic preparedness has focused on avian flus.

The focus has been on birds, and now we have a virus that’s coming from a swine reservoir and ending up as a human virus. It creates a lot of worry for the future. It is therefore important not to be complacent regarding the A(H1N1) virus. Symptoms may be mild but with the crossing of the species for the virus, the future may be uncertain.